EVE University graduate. Drama Llama. Covert operations pilot. Poetic Stanziel has been very active in the blogging community bringing views from seasoned high-sec pilots, we please to share his stories and views on current Eve Online events and invite you to read more stories from his Poetic Discourse blog.
Poetic Discourse: Faction Warfare – Nulli Secunda
Nulli Secunda is now sov-less. Their glorious return to nullsec is already in the planning stages and it includes a reshipping stint in Amarr/Minmatar faction warfare lowsec, on the Amarr side.
The plan? Use faction warfare as a reshipping depot, boost the Amarr faction to T5 warzone control, then cash in on thousands of inexpensive Armageddon Navy Issue battleships. Use those ships to create a new fleet doctrine, return to sovereignty nullsec as conquering heroes.
They plan to base out of Otosela, two jumps from a backdoor into deep Minmatar space, Todifrauan. A drop the soap strategy, which they hope the Minmatar will bend down to pick up. Which is not a bad move, given they do it soon. None of the major Minmatar militia base that deep inside their own space. Unless the Minmatar start mobilizing now, basing secondary reshipping stations in the area, Nulli is likely to flip an entire swath of systems to Amarr control fairly quickly.
The Minmatar could have a two front war on its hands. Nulli pushing from the west, the rest of the Amarr alliances pushing from the east. (Compass directions based on the Minmatar/Amarr faction warfare map.) The question everyone is asking, will the Amarr militias assist Nulli?
That Nulli plans on basing nowhere near the rest of the Amarr militia in Kamela, means they’ve little interest in working directly with the rest of the Amarr. They feel they can go it alone. If they get help from the eastern side of the map, then great, if not, they can bring the Minmatar to their knees themselves. Or so their thinking goes.
If Nulli simply wants to treat the Minmatar/Amarr battle as their personal ATM machine, how interested will be the rest of the Amarr in furthering their goal, only to watch them screw off once that goal is achieved?
There’s likely already going to be bad blood between Nulli and Fweddit. Fweddit are largely made up of Redditors. Test Alliance largely comes from the Reddit community. There are a substantial number of Test Alliance members who have alts in Fweddit. Test Alliance and Friends are the reason Nulli has to now slum it in lowsec. Whereas Nulli seems to have the backing of many of the Amarr corporations and alliances, their relationship with Fweddit remains up-in-the-air and interesting.
I suspect Fweddit will fall in line. Nulli will be on the other side of the faction warfare zone, so working directly with each other won’t be an issue. The promise of T5 warzone control, and all the wealth that comes with it, should be enough to convince even the harshest Nulli critic to put the trash talking aside, if only to show the Minmatar how lousy T1 warzone control is. Let the Minmatar experience squalour for a little while.
How easy will this be for Nulli Secunda? They seem to feel they can accomplish this part-time in about a month. During their July 15 meeting, where they announced their faction warfare intentions to their members, they stated that faction warfare will be a part-time activity.
The other reason for basing out of Otosela is that it’s also two jumps from Geminate. Nulli does not intend to recuse themselves from nullsec while they bide their time trying to get back. They plan to immediately start dipping their toes into some Solar Fleet/NC-dot wars in the Geminate to Kavela Expanse regions. All the while occasionally flipping Minmatar systems in their attempt to gain T5 control. They obviously don’t fully understand plexing quite yet. I get the impression they think they can flip systems, go away to do null fights, then come back to find their systems still flipped, under their control. As quickly as they can flip systems, they can be flipped right back to Minmatar control while they’re off fleet op’ing in Geminate. Maintaining system control is something that requires more than just occasional attention and focus, if not, that control is lost.
A lack of plex understanding, and the focus and attention that driving to T5 control will deserve, especially against an enemy that has no history of rolling over and playing dead, might cause Nulli to rethink their factional warfare ambitions. They might desert the activity shortly after realizing that it will take up more of their attention than they anticipated.
Now, if Nulli were to put their full attention on faction warfare, there’s slim doubt that they couldn’t push the Amarr to T5 control, especially with a strong east and west push, sandwiching the Minmatar between two large and aggressive forces. What are the Minmatar options, if this is the case?
Given Nulli on one side, the rest of the Amarr on the other, the Minmatar’s best bet to regaining what they lost as quickly as possible, once Nulli leaves, is to defend as hard as possible in the east, and to then put up a weaker (though not nonexistent) defense in the west. Once Nulli leaves, the western systems will be easily reconquerable, and if the eastern line was held strongly, the Minmatar position remains relatively unchanged from the current, pre-Nulli situation.
Interesting times, at any rate, especially if Nulli does decide to stick around to give faction warfare more than peripheral amounts of focus.